Pearl Insights
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Data story: Half of young adults are not in work or school. How many more are coming?

51% of Uganda's 18-30-year-olds are not in work, school or training

5.2 million young adults aged 18 to 30 in Uganda were not in employment, education or training in 2024. Unemployment among people 15 and over was 12.3%, 33.1% of households live in the subsistence economy, and 34.2% of 13-17-year-olds are out of school.

What comes next: The wave already born

18.2 million children under 14 were counted in Uganda in 2024. All of them reach working age (14) by 2038: on average about 1.3 million new people of working age every year, before deaths and migration. Every one of them is already born.

How this was worked out: Cohort arithmetic on 2024 census age groups (total minus ages 14-64 and 65+). Not a forecast of jobs or of labour force participation.

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Source: Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBOS), National Population and Housing Census 2024 (final results, drill-down tables). Published on Pearl Insights (https://pearl-insights.org), an independent civic data platform, not an official government website.